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http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/520917/potential-supertyphoon-threatens-ph-pagasa
Tropical Storm “Haiyan” will likely turn
into a supertyphoon as it enters the Philippine area of responsibility
in the next 48 hours, US meteorologists said on Tuesday.
“Due to very favorable environmental
conditions, rapid intensification is forecast over the next 48 hours
with a peak intensity of 130 knots (241 kilometers per hour),” said a
forecast by the Hawaii-based Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC).
The JTWC of the US Department of Defense
categorizes storms with wind speeds of 241 kph as a supertyphoon. The
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services
Administration (Pagasa) officially uses no such classification.
Haiyan, which will be named “Yolanda” when
it enters the Philippine area of responsibility, is expected to arrive
on Thursday morning and make landfall in the Samar-Leyte area by Friday
afternoon, Pagasa said.
It will have turned into a typhoon once it
comes in, moving westward at 25 kph, weather forecasting section chief
Rene Paciente said.
“It will cut through Visayas and exit
through Mindoro. If it maintains its westward track, it has a low chance
of hitting Metro Manila. But it may also go west-northwest,” he said.
The JTWC echoed the Pagasa forecast, saying Haiyan will make landfall over central Philippines.
It “will then weaken as it tracks across
the Philippine islands but should emerge over the South China Sea at
near 115 knot intensity (214 kph).
Pagasa uses a different method in calculating wind speeds and its numbers tend to be more conservative than the JTWC’s.
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